- ### __Bias : __ - Hard-easy effect - ### __Definition : __ - Definition 1: Based on a specific level of task difficulty, the confidence in judgments is too conservative and not extreme enough. - Definition 2: The hard-easy effect is a cognitive bias that manifests itself as a tendency to overestimate the probability of one's success at a task perceived as hard, and to underestimate the likelihood of one's success at a task perceived as easy. - ### __OODA Class : __ - Decide Phase - ### __OODA Subclass : __ - Complexity - ### __Classification Reasoning : __ - The hard-easy effect comes into play when options in the list of alternatives comprise of varying complexities. The general feeling is that by choosing a more complex alternative, it will yield in a higher success rate as compared to choosing an easier alternative. - ### __Example : __ - Kubernetes for automated deployment and scaling of a website: With the rise of Docker around 2013, Kubernetes has gained traction in the recent years as the choice for automating deployments and scaling of container based applications. Kubernetes is a good choice when it comes to setting up complex websites which handle a large user base, and which requires a high degree of availability. However, setting up the Kubernetes is not a simple task for someone with limited experience. Additionally, when dealing with simple websites with a limited user base, a simple solution with Jenkins would probably suffice. - ### __Impact : __ - The decision to go with a solution of high complexity need not always result in the best solutions. When dealing with more complex solutions, factors such as the skill set of the team, time constraints, feasibility of implementing the solution must be kept in mind. Sometimes, a simpler setup might result in the best possible solution. - ### __Debiasing Techniques : __ - The advantages and disadvantages of a complex versus simple solution must be clearly established. Long term visions must be kept in mind to accommodate future requirements or varying complexities. - ### __Related Biases : __ - [[Complexity Bias]]